Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.030142 0.032457 0.034771 0.037257 0.039846 0.042461 0.045299
2025-08-31 0.025395 0.029038 0.032807 0.036984 0.041465 0.046115 0.051290
2025-09-07 0.022554 0.026945 0.031601 0.036872 0.042641 0.048733 0.055622
2025-09-14 0.020037 0.024916 0.030203 0.036303 0.043092 0.050366 0.058700
2025-09-21 0.017943 0.023169 0.028949 0.035731 0.043393 0.051706 0.061336
2025-09-28 0.015935 0.021371 0.027505 0.034823 0.043207 0.052411 0.063184
2025-10-05 0.015192 0.020982 0.027618 0.035634 0.044911 0.055184 0.067297
2025-10-12 0.014277 0.020322 0.027360 0.035966 0.046028 0.057264 0.070604
2025-10-19 0.013167 0.019358 0.026685 0.035760 0.046482 0.058555 0.072990
2025-10-26 0.012785 0.019263 0.027027 0.036735 0.048293 0.061384 0.077117
2025-11-02 0.012052 0.018684 0.026747 0.036938 0.049173 0.063126 0.079988
2025-11-09 0.011146 0.017836 0.026097 0.036661 0.049458 0.064156 0.082020
2025-11-16 0.010237 0.016990 0.025479 0.036475 0.049929 0.065500 0.084544
2025-11-23 0.009320 0.016098 0.024783 0.036188 0.050287 0.066734 0.086977
2025-11-30 0.008564 0.015373 0.024260 0.036079 0.050831 0.068162 0.089617
2025-12-07 0.007691 0.014429 0.023408 0.035517 0.050788 0.068869 0.091388
2025-12-14 0.006892 0.013538 0.022583 0.034953 0.050712 0.069511 0.093062
2025-12-21 0.006045 0.012515 0.021533 0.034057 0.050189 0.069586 0.094039
2025-12-28 0.005842 0.012453 0.021787 0.034857 0.051789 0.072234 0.098092
2026-01-04 0.005500 0.012151 0.021692 0.035184 0.052784 0.074141 0.101254
2026-01-11 0.005016 0.011593 0.021213 0.034981 0.053090 0.075193 0.103380
2026-01-18 0.004915 0.011649 0.021603 0.035944 0.054887 0.078082 0.107729
2026-01-25 0.004600 0.011328 0.021438 0.036144 0.055697 0.079748 0.110597